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Top 15 Fantasy Football Wide Receivers for 2013

1. Calvin Johnson DET - Detroit Lions, Bye: Week 5
2. Larry Fitzgerald ARI - Arizona Cardinals
, Bye: Week 10
3. Roddy White ATL - Atlanta Falcons
, Bye: Week 7
4. Andre Johnson HOU - Houston Texans
, Bye: Week 8
5. Steve Smith CAR - Carolina Panthers, Bye: Week 6
6. AJ Green CIN - Cinsinnati Bengals, Bye: Week 8
7. Wes Welker NE - New England Patriots, Bye: Week 9 
8. Jordy Nelson GB - Green Bay Packers, Bye: Week 10
9. Victor Cruz NYG - New York Giants, Bye: Week 11
10. Brandon Marshall CHI - Chicago Bears, Bye : Week 6
11. Dwayne Bowe KC - Kansas City Chiefs
, Bye: Week 7
12. Mike Wallace PIT - Pittsburgh Steelers
, Bye: Week 4
13. Greg Jennings GB - Green Bay Packers
, Bye: Week 10
14. Marques Colston NO - New Orleans Saints
, Bye: Week 6
15. Hakeem Nicks NYG - New York Giants
, Bye: Week 11
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Second Tier Starter with Upside: Pierre Garcon, Washington Redskins
After the premiere pass catchers are off the board, shrewd draftniks are looking to that second tier of wide receivers to find one that can produce like at an elite level. Last year in Indianapolis, Garcon began to overtake Reggie Wayne as the goto guy in the Colts offense. Garcon is slightly undersized but his speed and route running ability after years of working with Peyton Manning will make him an ideal target for rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III. RGII is expected to have a year similar to Cam Newton’s 2011 campaign and Pierre Garcon with be the primary benefactor.

Sure to Disappoint: Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs
Dawyne Bowe is a supremely gifted athlete with a work ethic problem. Over the course of his five year career in Kansas City he has shown flashes of brilliance, but they that were marred by periods of indifference. Bowe is entering the last year of his six year deal with Kansas City and the Chiefs have ignored his demands for a multiyear contract. Many believe that they’ve grown tired of Bowe and expect that this will be his last season in a Chiefs uniform. I would devalue Dwayne Bowe on my draft boards at this time. Second year man Johnathan Baldwin is looking for his opportunity to shine.

Next great Fantasy Pass Catcher: Brian Quick, St. Louis Rams
Drafted out of Appalachian State in April’s 2012 NFL draft, this unheralded rookie has the opportunity to grow with Sam Bradford into one of the league’s elite TD combinations. His rare combination of size and speed allowed the St. Louis Rams to pass on their top-rated WR prospect, Justin Blackmon, in order to take Quick with the first pick of the third round. The Rams will be playing from behind in a lot of games and Sam Bradford is desperate for a goto guy.


What I said in 2011 ...
Premiere Pass Catcher : Roddy White, Atlanta Falcons
In 2010, Roddy White dominated NFL defenses unlike any other player at his position posting 10 TD's on 115 receptions for 1389 yards.  Fighting through double teams and reeling in passes from strong armed sophmore quarterback Matt Ryan, the future looks bright for the Atlanta Falcons.  By adding rookie wide out Julio Jones, the Falcons boast one of the best one-two tandens at the wode receiver position in the league.  Jones will help open up the field for White who will post another exceptional year for fantasy owners.

Most Overrated Wide Receiver: Anquan Boldin, Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens brought in the former #2 Arizona Cardinals receiver to help spark this Joe Flacco led offense.  Boldin is a physical presence at the wide receiver position, with excellent run-after-catch ability, but Joe Flacco continues to look Derek Mason's way as he spreads the ball around in this dink-and-dunk west coast offense.  Although Boldin's pro game works for the Ravens, it simply doesn't translate to fantasy gold for owners looking to draft a solid number one.  Furthermore, Boldin doesn't get into the end zone enough to be an elite option.

What I said in 2010 ...
Premiere Pass Catcher : Andre Johnson, Houston Texans

As predicted last year, Andre Johnson and Matt Schaub picked up when they left off the year before.  With 101 receptions, 1569 yards, and nine touchdowns in 2009, Andre Johnson has proven his worth as an elite pass catcher in the National Football League.   He has prototypical size and speed with exceptional run after catch (RAC) ability.  Johnson will continue to outrun defenses in 2010

Most Overrated Wide Receiver: Hines Ward, Pittsburgh Steelers
Hines Ward has been too old to be an elite wide receiver for the last three years, but every year he steps up and performs admirably.  Not in 2010.  Ward will unfortunately be infected by several factors that are out of his control.  With the suspension of Ben Roethlisberger for six games, the Pittsburgh Steelers will resume playing Pittsburgh Steeler football, winning games with defense and a strong ground attack.  This emphasis on the run game coupled with his age will take its toll on his 2010 numbers. 

2010 Fantasy Sleeper: Kenny Britt, Tennessee Titans
I liked Kenny Britt as a rookie last year.  He was going to a team in Tennessee that desperately needed wide receiver help and he just seemed to have a knack for being around the football and making plays.  Over the course of the 2009 season, he seemed to grow into his role in the Titans passing offense.  I expect him to become Vince Young's primary target this year and pay big dividends to fantasy owners that select him in the later rounds.  

Sure to Disappoint: TJ Houshmanzadeh, Seattle Seahawks
Housmandzadeh is a #2 receiver.  There's no getting around that.  For the 2010 NFL season I expect that he'll continue to put up very average numbers and that's just not good enough in fantasy football.  Coupled with the fact that Matt Hasselbeck is an aging quarterback that's entering the twilight of his career, you're looking at a recipe for disaster.   I won't be drafting this guy early.

The Next Great Fantasy WR: Mike Williams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Mike Williams has been a pleasant surprise at Bucs training camp this year.  Coaches rave about his work ethic and raw talent.  With second round pick Arrelious Benn underperforming and not much on the Bucs roster at the wide receiver position, Williams sits alone at the top of the depth chart.  This situation screams sleeper.  Williams is a guy you can grab late in the draft who will perform at a high level by midseason.

What I said in 2009 ...
Premiere Pass Catcher : Andre Johnson, Houston Texans
With 115 receptions, 1575 yards and 8 touchdowns on 2008, Andre Johnson's time has come.  If Matt Schaub can stay healthy this year, considering the emergnce of a solid ground game with Steve Slaton, I expect the most dominant receiver of 2008 to maintain his crown.

Most Overrated Wide Receiver: TJ Houshmanzadeh, Seattle Seahawks
I just have a problem taking a #2 wide receiver and trying to make him a #1.  Housh served as an exceptional compliment to Chad OchoCinco all those years in Cincinnati, but unfortunately he is just that, a complimentary #2 receiver.  Now in Seattle, with an aging Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback and a weak looking ground game I just don't see much success in Seatle for Housh. 

2009 Fantasy Sleeper: DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia Eagles
I know I called hiim out an my fantasy sleeper last year, but I gotta tell you I like what Philadelphia has be doing with their offense this offseason and I honestly believe that DeSean Jackson is in a position become a large beneficiary of most of these changes.  Trading for Left Tackle Jason Peters from Buffalo, drafting Jeremy Maclin and LeShonn McCoy, bringing in Michael Vick.  The Eagles are posturing for a Super Bowl birth and Jackson's speed and ability to get deep will offer Donovan McNabb lots of opportunities to air it out.  

Sure to Disappoint: Antonio Bryant, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Call me a hater, but I just don't have a whole lot of confidence in Antonio Bryant.  True he had an exceptional breakout year last year in Tampa forcing the Bucs to place their franchise tag on him, but this is the same Antonio Bryant that underperformed in Dallas, Cleveland and San Francisco before landing in Tampa.  I wish him the best, but I don't expect 2009 to be too kind.

The Next Great Fantasy WR: Hakeem Nicks, New York Giants
I really like the situation that Hakeem Nicks finds himself in in New York.  With Plaxico Burress serving a prision sentence for gun possession, the New York Giants receiving corps is looking for a leader to step up and become a number one receiver.  Given time Hakeem Nicks can be that guy. 

What I said in 2008 ...
Premiere Pass Catcher : Randy Moss, New England Patriots
Do you know what made Jerry Rice the most prolific receiver to ever play the game of Football? Joe Montana, Steve Young, and the West Coast offense. Talent in the National Football league can only take you so far. To excel, to be considered the GOAT, you need to be in an offensive system that makes the most of your talents. That is what Randy Moss has in New England with Tom Brady. At 31 years old, Randy Moss is in the prime of his career. He's lighting quick, runs superior routes, catches everything that's thrown in his direction, and he has the best quarterback in football to get him the damn ball. You do the math.

Most Overrated Wide Receiver: Lee Evans, Buffalo Bills
It pains me to say this, being the avid Bills fans that I am, and it's not a knock on Lee Evans but rather on the entire Buffalo Bills offense, but Lee Evans is the most over-rated wide receiver in fantasy football. The Bills can't seem to put it all together, they have a speedster in Evans that catches everything thrown his way, but can't find a quarterback who can get this guy the ball. Over the years, Evans has had opportunities to flash his rare ability, but when the quarterback carousel in Buffalo stops spinning (Bledsoe, Holcolm, Losman, Edwards), then maybe he can be a star.

2008 Fantasy Sleeper: DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia Eagles
This speedster rookie wide out is stepping into a great situation in Philadelphia.  Donovan McNabb again finds himself without a go to guy at the wide receiver position and I think Jackson could be the answer here.  With McNabb's big arm, considering aging offensive weapons like Brian Westbrook and LJ Smith, turning to some youth in Philly is exactly what the doctor ordered.  I also think that as a fantasy option, DeSean Jackson will be available very late in most drafts and that he'll be extremely productive as a number three receiver that will start on your fantasy team. 

Sure to Disappoint: Brandon Marshall, Denver Broncos
This guy is a train wreck waiting to happen. In addition to his frequent run ins with the law during the entire offseason, Marshall is also recovering from a serious arm injury that resulted in a severed artery, vein, and tendons to five muscles, along with a damaged nerve in his forearm when he put his arm through a TV screen. Marshall is entering his fantasy-significant 3rd year at a wide receiver position on the heels of a sophomore season in which he totaled 1325 yards and seven scores. Although primed for a breakout season, he will be suspended three games by the league for violating Roger Goodell's new personal conduct policy. Based on his track record, I have serious doubts that he will be able to stay out of trouble long enough to start a significant number of games for the 2008 fantasy football season. I would avoid at all costs and let Brandon Marshall become someone else's problem.

The Next Great Fantasy WR: Dwayne Bowe
At 6'2", 221 lbs, with blazing speed and great hands, Dwayne Bowe is every bit the franchise receiver that the Kansas City Chiefs franchise has been searching for. The former LSU standout posted 995 yards and 5 touchdowns as a contender for the rookie of the year award that was given to Adrian Peterson in 2007. Bowe is on a Kansas City chiefs team that will be playing from behind in several games this season. If he gets reasonable play at the Quarterback position from either Brodie Croyle or Damon Huard, Bowe could have a breakthrough sophomore campaign in 2008.

What I said in 2007 ...
Premiere Pass Catcher : Marvin Harrison, Indianapolis Colts
The venerable Marvin Harrison, like a fine wine, only seems to get better with age.  He is locked in as Peyton Manning's primary target in the most prolific offense in the National Football League.  Marvin can do it all.  He can get the crucial first down to keep a drive alive, make the circus catch on the sideline, and get in the endzone when the Colts are looking to pad their lead.  Marvin Harrison is a consummate professional and for this reason my pick as the Premiere Pass Catcher or 2007.

Most Overrated Wide Receiver: Steve Smith, Carolina Panthers
This selection is not a knock on Steve Smith.  Rather it is a function of the group that surrounds Steve Smith.  Steve's skill level unquestionably puts him in the top ten among wide receivers, but the questions that surround his quarterback, Jake Delhomme, as a capable starter for the Carolina Panthers cause me to call Steve Smith overrated.  Unless David Carr brings something to the table under center, I have little confidence that the Carolina Panthers will be able to get the ball to Steve Smith with regularity. 

2007 Fantasy Sleeper: Vincent Jackson, San Diego Chargers
Vincent Jackson is entering his third year in the National Football league.  The third year is widely regarded as a breakout year for wide receivers.  By the third year, the game begins to slow down and wide receivers become acclimated to the complexities of the NFL game.  Vincent Jackson is on a team in desperate need of a wide receiver that can stretch the field and is working with a quarterback that is comfortable in the offense himself.  The strong rushing attack of LaDanian Tomlinson coupled with the attention that Antonio Gates will receive will help Jackson find open space as teams look to stop the run.

Sure to Disappoint: Santana Moss, Washington Redskins
Since his arrival in Washington, Santana Moss has yet to put together a complete season.  If you look his fantasy stats they appear solid, but Santana Moss is a very streaky receiver.  The bulk of his touchdowns and yardage points come in bundles sporadically over the coarse of the season.  If you're fortunate enough to start  him on one of his few hot weeks, fantasy owners are well rewarded, but starting him on an off week will yield single digit fantasy points or the big "oh-fer".  If you're stuck with Santana Moss, wait for a solid performance and trade him.

The Next Great Fantasy WR: Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions
Calvin Johnson finds himself in a great situation in Detroit.  With mad scientist Mike Martz at the helm, Detroit is sure to have an explosive offense and Johnson will certainly be a big part of that.  His size, speed and physical attributes will serve him well in the NFL.  Working across from Roy Williams and having Mike Furrey in the slot, will allow John Kitna to find Calvin Johnson several times this season.  I would look for Jonson to have a solid year in 2007, but really explode in 2008.  





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