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Top 15 Fantasy Football Tight Ends for 2013

1. Rob Gronkiwski NE - New England Patriots 9
2. Jimmy Graham - New Orleans Saints, Bye: Week 6 
3. Antonio Gates SD - San Diego Chargers, Bye: Week 7
4. Jason Witten DAL - Dallas Cowboys, Bye: Week 5
5. Aaron Hernandez - New England Patriots, Bye: Week 9
6. Brandon Pettigrew DET - Detroit Lions 5
7. Jermicheal Findley GB - GreenBayPackers, Bye: Week 10
8. Vernon Davis SF - San Francisco 49ers, Bye: Week 9
9. Fred Davis WAS - Washington Redskins, Bye: Week 10
10. Brent Celek PHI - Philadelphia Eagles, Bye: Week 7
11. Tony Gonzalez ATL - Atlanta Falcons, Bye: Week 8
12. Jermaine Gresham CIN - Cincinnati Bengals, Bye: 8
13. Owen Daniels HOU - Houston Texans, Bye: Week 8
14. Jared Cook TEN - Tennessee Titans, Bye: Week 11
15. Dustin Keller NYJ - New York Jets, Bye: Week 9

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2013 Analysis Coming Soon ...

What I said in 2010 ...
Premiere Tight End: Dallas Clark, Indianapolis Colts

In 2009, Dallas Clark totaled 100 receptions for 1106 yards and 10 touchdowns.  A matchup nightmare for NFL defensive coordinators, Clark seems adept at finding those soft spots in zone coverage allowing Peyton Manning to always have a dependable check-down option.  His production will continue in 2010 and the Colts renew their quest of a second World Championship.

Most Overrated Tight End: Todd Heap, Baltimore Ravens
The former first rounder out of Arizona State just turned 30.  In his younger days, Heap was an incredible pass catcher and endzone threat, but age is beginning to become a factor especially with regard to injury.  In 2009, Heap caught 53 balls for 593 yards and 6 touchdowns.  With the additions of Anquan Boldin and Donte Stallworth along with the resigning of Derek Mason, you can expect Heap production to take a significant dip.

2010 Fantasy Sleeper: Jermichael Findley
Jermichael Findley had a breakout season for the Green Bay Packers last year.  The 6'5" 250 lb tight end out of Texas became Aaron Rodgers' check down option shows great promise as a red zone threat.  He's a propect that can be grabbed later in the draft and will produce like a top five tight end.

Sure to Disappoint: Greg Olsen, Chicago Bears
Greg Olsen finds himself in a precarious position in Chicago.  Jay Cutler, the strong armed franchise savior who came to town from Denver last year was unable to fully utilize his unique skill set in 2009.  This year new offensive coordinator, Mike Martz, comes to town to helm the Bears offense., which is not good news for Olsen.  Martz's "Greatest Show" offenses are notorious for being Tight End killers ... ask Vernon Davis.  The tight end position in Martz's scheme is primarily used as a blocker in most formations, so Olsen's pass catching abilities will be wasted.

The Next Great Fantasy TE: Ed Dickson, Baltimore Ravens
A majority of the success in fantasy football at the tight end position is scheme.  Ed Dickson has the advantage of being situated in the highly potent Baltimore Ravens offense with strong armed quarterback Joe Flacco.  He's a vertical threat who can stretch the field with a set of excellent hands and will take full advantage of defenses keying on the talented veterans around him.  It may not be this year, but Dickson has the tools to be a star in this league. 

What I said in 2009 ...
Premiere Tight End: Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers
Antonio Gates continues to be the prototypical millennium tight end that all NFL teams are looking for.  He's tall, catches the ball at it's highest point, runs great routes and can block.  His production in 2008 was a bit off the mark but I expect him to rebound in 2009 as Philip River takes the reigns of the San Diego Charger offense.

Most Overrated Tight End: Greg Olsen, Chicago Bears
Greg Olsen has been a bit of a disappointment since coming to Chicago.  The Bears just don't seem to utilize him well.  Olsen is a pas catching tight end that's not known for his blocking.  The Bears have a porous offensive line and Jay Cutler is not the type of quarterback that utilizes his tight ends.  It will be interesting to see what happens with Olsen in Chicago.

2009 Fantasy Sleeper: Vernon Davis, San Francisco
Mike Martz leaving San Francisco could be the best thing that ever happened to Vernon Davis.  Although Martz's greatest show on turf piles up yardage and touchdowns on offense, it's the wide receivers that are the beneficiaries of this offensive production.  Tight ends are expected to block.  With a new coordinator in the mix, I expect Davis to return to running routes and catching TD's.

Sure to Disappoint: Jeremy Shockey, New Orleans Saints
I think Jeremy Shockey has lost a step.  The Giants were happy to part ways with the All-Pro and his move to New Orleans netted average statistics in 2008.  I expect his decline to continue in 2009.

The Next Great Fantasy TE: Brandon Pettigrew, Detroit Lions
Pettigrew is a monster at the tight end position.  Like Antonio Gates he's tall with a wide body and great hands.  Pettigrew can block and will be a fixture in the Detroit Lions offense for many years.

What I said in 2008 ...
Premiere Tight End: Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers
Any offense that features LaDanian Tomlinson on ground is going to open up passing lanes and until Chris Chambers came onboard, Antonio Gates was the focal point of the passing game. Gates consistently gets looks in the red zone and on third down. When healthy he is a touchdown and yardage machine. The presence of Chris Chambers only enhances the abilities of a healthy Antonio Gates. San Diego is primed for an extended playoff run and Antonio Gates will be a key beneficiary of their success.

Most Overrated Tight End: Tony Gonzalez, Kansas City Chiefs
Years of being the main focal point of a run-first offense have resulted in some gaudy numbers for Tony Gonzalez, but at 32 years of age, the nine time pro bowler entering his 12th NFL season is sure to slow down. With the emergence of Dwayne Bowe at the wide receiver position and the inconsistent play at the quarterback position in Kansas City, Gonzalez will have a tough time matching his 1172 yards and 5 touchdowns from 2007.

2008 Fantasy Sleeper: Greg Olsen, Chicago Bears
The passing game in Chicago is more than suspect after the loss of Bernard Berrian to Minnesota and the massive question mark hanging over the quarterback position. The loss of Cedric Benson and subsequent promotion of rookie Matt Forte to the starting lineup adds to the uncertainty of the Chicago running game, but the main benefactor of this offense in disarray will be Greg Olsen. Olsen will demonstrate why he was selected by the Chicago bears in the first round of the 2007 NFL draft. 2008 will be his break out year as the Bears will be forced to play from behind in most contests as opponents dare the quarterback of the week to beat them through the air. Olsen will be a reliable consistent target and perhaps the only bright spot for Chicago Bears fans on offense.

Sure to Disappoint: Anthony Fasano, Dallas Cowboys
This former first round pick of the Dallas Cowboys was a bust in Dallas and received his walking papers. Picked up by the anemic Miami Dolphins offense, I can't seem him making any kind of fantasy football impact.

The Next Great Fantasy TE: John Carlson, Seattle Seahawks
This rookie tight end landed in a fantastic spot to make use of his rare combination of speed and pass catching ability. With the rash of injuries and inconsistency at the wide receiver position, Matt Hasselbeck had to be licking his chops when the Seahawks drafted Carlson. It may take a couple years, but John Carlson will be an elite tight end in the NFL.

What I said in 2007 ...
Premiere Tight End: Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers

Most Overrated Tight End: Tony Gonzalez, Kansas City Chiefs

2007 Fantasy Sleeper: Randy McMichael, St. Louis Rams

Sure to Disappoint: Dallas Clark, Indianapolis Colts

The Next Great Fantasy TE: Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers




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